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View Full Version : Election 2010 - the final poll



-:Undertaker:-
05-05-2010, 10:26 PM
http://www.iaza.com/work/100506C/GE20109301629923-iaza.bmp


Here is most likely the last opinion poll for Habbox Forum with as much information as I can possibly add, we are heading towards the election which has a hung parliament in its sights, the question is, as ever, who do you support? - the poll includes information about the individual parties and their policies listed below, the parties are listed in the order they came in the last national election the United Kingdom held which was under the proportional representation system for the European Elections 2009. The parties which did not gain seats in the European Elections 2009 are not listed in this poll.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/b6/Conservative_logo_2006.svg/768px-Conservative_logo_2006.svg.png
The Conservative and Unionist Party led under David Cameron has been the party which has held office the most times in British parliamentary history and is historically to the right of the spectrum. The last time the Conservatives gained office was in 1979 under Margaret Thatcher and last left office in 1997 under John Major. The party under David Cameron has been revolutionised much to the discontent of the grassroots however it is seen as a bid to make the party more attractive to the centre and the left, which is mainly the young. The party under David Cameron has had a big focus on equality, big society and education.

Conservative and Union Party 2005 General Election results

2005 percentage of the vote: 32.3%
2010 estimated percentage of the vote: 36.0%



http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/d/d2/UKIP_logo.png

The United Kingdom Independence Party led under Lord Pearson is a young party formed in 1993 after a Bruges Group meeting and is both conservative and libertarian in its idealogical elements. The party can be defined as firmly to the right of the spectrum. The party has had great success at European Election, in 2009 it came second beating the governing Labour Party. The party advocates leaving the European Union, cutting down on immigration and giving democracy back to the people via referendums in a swiss style system. The party under Lord Pearson has moved towards an anti-islamic extremism platform.

United Kingdom Independence Party 2005 General Election results

2005 percentage of the vote: 2.2%
2010 estimated percentage of the vote: 6.0%


http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/0/05/Logo_Labour_Party.svg/500px-Logo_Labour_Party.svg.png
The Labour Party led by Gordon Brown has been in power since 1997 when it gained victory under Tony Blair. The party was usually seen as to the left of the spectrum and that is still true in many respects, however the fourth clause of the Labour Party was dropped in the 1990s and adopted many of the policies of Thatcherism/free-marketism which many saw as abandoning its roots. The party advocates fairness, higher taxes and thus more public spending and believes the way out of the economic situation is through government spending.

Labour Party 2005 General Election results

2005 percentage of the vote: 35.3%
2010 estimated percentage of the vote: 28.0%


http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/d/d3/Liberal_Democrats_UK_Logo.svg/800px-Liberal_Democrats_UK_Logo.svg.png

The Liberal Democrats are led by Nick Clegg and are a fairly new party with old elements involved, mostly from the Liberal Party which used to dominate British politics before the rise of the Labour Party. The party is to the left of the spectrum although many have noted it has moved slightly more to the right under Nick Clegg as leader but it is still firmly to the left. The party has experienced recent polling success with the leaders debates which could make it the kingmaker in the event of a hung parliament. The Liberal Democrats advocate joining the euro, stronger EU intergration, higher taxes and thus higher public spending and reformal of the voting system as well scrapping the Trident nuclear missile defence.

Liberal Democrats 2005 General Election results

2005 percentage of the vote: 22.1%
2010 estimated percentage of the vote: 28.0%


http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/ab/Green_Party_of_England_and_Wales_logo.svg/353px-Green_Party_of_England_and_Wales_logo.svg.png

The Green Party of England and Wales is led by Caroline Lucas and have evolved from many green groups over the years, with last years success in the European Elections 2009 the Greens organised themselves into a proper political force as they picked up two seats in that election. The party is considered to be to the left (firmly). The party now has structure and build to it and is making real ground down south in Brighton. The Green Party advocates more action on climate change, fairer taxes, standing against consumerism and is moderately eurosceptic.

Green Party of England and Wales 2005 General Election results

2005 percentage of the vote: 1.0%
2010 estimated percentage of the vote: 2.8%



http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/a5/BNP_logo.svg/461px-BNP_logo.svg.png

The British National Party is led by Nick Griffin who has in recent years turned the party around into a more respectable political force with the party gaining ground in the European Elections 2009. The party is considered to the far-right of the spectrum. The party is eurosceptic, wants to tighten controls over certain industry, wants to remove political correctness and wants a full stop to immigration to the United Kingdom. The party gained two seats in the European Elections 2009.

British National Party 2005 General Election results

2005 percentage of the vote: 0.7%
2010 estimated percentage of the vote: 3.0%

Caution
05-05-2010, 10:51 PM
I don't fully support any, but if I could vote I would vote SNP.

-:Undertaker:-
05-05-2010, 11:05 PM
The result should be interesting, I think the smaller parties vote share might be smaller in percentage terms because of the expected rise in votes due to the TV debates. It'll be interesting though because we dont really know whats going to happen, overall its been a pretty boring campaign with the exception of the Gillian Duffy incident and the Cleggmania that gripped the nation. :P

kk.
05-05-2010, 11:07 PM
overall its been a pretty boring campaign with the exception of the Gillian Duffy incident

i still dont understand how that was a big deal tbh lol

-:Undertaker:-
05-05-2010, 11:07 PM
i still dont understand how that was a big deal tbh lol

Because it was an amazing gaffe by the PM who so desperately tried to paint himself as the nice caring man with his awful smile.

Swastika
05-05-2010, 11:21 PM
Yeah, but he is human you know.

I still don't know who i'd vote for, i can seriously see us getting a hung parliament.
Most people round here are Labour because its more working class i suppose, conservatives are for the rich, lib dems are idiots, UKIP is too small to get in power and nobody likes BNP except old fellas to put it bluntly.
Some of BNP's policies make sense, however some are outrageous and using catch phrases such as "Don't unpack, your going back" doesn't exactly make them look good either.
My mams voting labour aswell because it seems the most sensible to vote for.

kk.
05-05-2010, 11:26 PM
Because it was an amazing gaffe by the PM who so desperately tried to paint himself as the nice caring man with his awful smile.

But even so, it's his opinion, and it doesn't affect amy of the partys policies. People who have changed there vote purely because of this stupid comment should rethink. All he is is the frontman, and not the sole person who makes up the policies.

Also, I think one key thing about the liberals is the amnesty on the Million illegal immigrants, surely

-:Undertaker:-
05-05-2010, 11:29 PM
Yeah, but he is human you know.

I still don't know who i'd vote for, i can seriously see us getting a hung parliament.
Most people round here are Labour because its more working class i suppose, conservatives are for the rich, lib dems are idiots, UKIP is too small to get in power and nobody likes BNP except old fellas to put it bluntly.
Some of BNP's policies make sense, however some are outrageous and using catch phrases such as "Don't unpack, your going back" doesn't exactly make them look good either.
My mams voting labour aswell because it seems the most sensible to vote for.

They are the fourth biggest party, it doesnt matter who wins out of the main parties because most of our laws are made in Brussels anyway, all we are doing in this election is choosing the best manager to manage the regulations/dictations that come from Brussels.


But even so, it's his opinion, and it doesn't affect amy of the partys policies. People who have changed there vote purely because of this stupid comment should rethink. All he is is the frontman, and not the sole person who makes up the policies.

Also, I think one key thing about the liberals is the amnesty on the Million illegal immigrants, surely

Indeed, however it must be noted that the woman was only asking a question on immigration and yet it seems to annoy the politicians when we ask them about this because none of the main parties anyway can do anything about immigration while we remain members of the European Union. I think his comments sum up the political class in this country;- totally removed from reality and anyone who disagrees with the offical line is either a bigot, homophobe, rascist or a facist.

As for the Liberal Democrat policy, totally crazy but not as crazy as the immigration was have experienced under Labour over the past 13 years which has been totally uncontrolled and has led to a situatuon where we have just under one million people in this country who are illegal and should not be here. It is the biggest social ill we face and until people wake up and realise we have no control to do anything about it, the better.

kk.
05-05-2010, 11:38 PM
Can I also mention before I go bed, UKIP really nee a new logo because it is pretty hideous :P

rnix
05-05-2010, 11:40 PM
Conservative and Unionist Party ;D

Tintinnabulate
06-05-2010, 08:16 AM
Already voted Labour via postal vote.

kk.
06-05-2010, 09:59 AM
Nigel Farage hasn't got off to best start has he :s

Hecktix
06-05-2010, 10:52 AM
Nigel Farage hasn't got off to best start has he :s

Bless. Brought down by his own banner, it's a sign!

Just crossed labours box!

Frodo13.
06-05-2010, 04:02 PM
Just voted Labour. Oh, and I don't believe the Gillian Duffy thing had any impact on this election - just ITV and Sky News over exagerating things as per usual.

Smits
06-05-2010, 04:21 PM
Iv voted for lib dems this morning. I'm predicting a hung parliament.

Ajthedragon
06-05-2010, 04:33 PM
Conservative & Unionists.

Tintinnabulate
06-05-2010, 04:34 PM
Iv voted for lib dems this morning. I'm predicting a hung parliament.

Yeah I agree with the latter part.

alexxxxx
06-05-2010, 05:25 PM
voted lib dems. he's the best guy to help britain, policies are, on the whole - not all, good and will help our stance in europe - he speaks several languages fluently - he even did an interview to a dutch TV station - in dutch. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vZMMH1GEaU

Dan2nd
06-05-2010, 05:31 PM
I have already voted Lib Dem :)

Neversoft
06-05-2010, 06:21 PM
I voted UKIP.

Fez
06-05-2010, 06:25 PM
Just voted Labour. Oh, and I don't believe the Gillian Duffy thing had any impact on this election - just ITV and Sky News over exagerating things as per usual.

One word: Murdoch.

kk.
06-05-2010, 07:20 PM
Do the right thing, vote left :)

just voted, deciding how much of it to watch tonight. Defo C4 and then some of BBC methinks

Jordy
06-05-2010, 09:04 PM
Exit polls show a hung parliament with the Conservatives short by 19 seats. Reflecting the polls of the last few days. However the Liberal Democrats actually lose seats which is quite remarkable. Exit polls incredibly accurate in the past it's worth noting.

jam666
06-05-2010, 09:29 PM
Sky News / ITV News / BBC Exit Poll results are as following:

Conservative: 307
Labour: 255
Liberal Democrats: 59
Others: 29

Looks like were heading for a minority Conservative government :)

Hecktix
06-05-2010, 09:30 PM
Sky News / ITV News / BBC Exit Poll results are as following:

Conservative: 307
Labour: 255
Liberal Democrats: 59
Others: 29

Looks like were heading for a minority Conservative government :)

or a Labour LibDem coalition which is more likely in the case of pariliament being hung

Frodo13.
06-05-2010, 09:31 PM
Really Jordy? Do you not know anything about 1992?!

jam666
06-05-2010, 09:33 PM
or a Labour LibDem coalition which is more likely in the case of pariliament being hung

If we use the exit poll results, a Labour / LibDem coalition is VERY unlikely as they will have 314 seats when compared to 307 Conservative seats.
This means there is a 7 seat difference and your forgetting that the UUP/DUP of N.I have close ties with the conservatives which should their seat prediciton of 10 be accurate the conservative party would then have more seats than the join Labour / Lib Dem coalition.

Jordy
06-05-2010, 09:37 PM
Really Jordy? Do you not know anything about 1992?!That was a while ago, in more recent elections it's been close to being spot on. They've presumably improved their methods for collecting data since 1992 too. However, I struggle to believe the Liberal Democrats will lose seats so I think this poll might be wrong.

StefanWolves
06-05-2010, 09:58 PM
Come on Conservatives!

I can see Labour surprising a few people however, the LibDem exit poll result hasn't surprised me one bit.

kk.
06-05-2010, 10:10 PM
I love paxman XD!

And I do believe that people may have moved from liberal democrats to labour to block conservative. We'll
see. I don't believe how many people can't vote!

AlexOC
06-05-2010, 10:28 PM
Something has happened at sunderland. Labour got like 19,000 votes, conswervs 8,000 i think.

So what happens now, i am so noobish at politics.

kk.
06-05-2010, 10:34 PM
Something has happened at sunderland. Labour got like 19,000 votes, conswervs 8,000 i think.

So what happens now, i am so noobish at politics.

It means that labour have won that seat, but have lost 16% of the vote in the area. The swing means how many people hav moved towards conservative. Out of the two that have been announced, it's an average swing of 9%ish on two SAFE labour constituencies, and that's a lot. If this is replicated across the country, conservatives will gain a majority government.

Jam
06-05-2010, 10:45 PM
Stupid how BNP are getting more votes than UKIP, although as its the North its not too shocking.

Fez
06-05-2010, 10:45 PM
Stupid how BNP are getting more votes than UKIP, although as its the North its not too shocking.

More midlands/south you'll see bigger turnouts of both BNP and UKIP.

Something tells me both parties will get a seat tonight.

Jam
06-05-2010, 10:51 PM
Mhm, I guessed the north (with the various general stereotype) would vote BNP, although now I guess they didn't actually bother to vote.

Fez
06-05-2010, 10:52 PM
Mhm, I guessed the north (with the various general stereotype) would vote BNP, although now I guess they didn't actually bother to vote.

I live in Leeds West, which is a MASSIVE BNP target. I'm seriously scared they'll get their seat here or in Barking.

StefanWolves
06-05-2010, 10:57 PM
I live in the W Midlands, Wolverhampton South, and loads of people vote BNP round here, not because they're racist, but because they're fed up with the old parties, and fed up of migrants. My dad and my girlfriends mother vote BNP, lots of other people I know also vote BNP.

Bun
07-05-2010, 12:04 AM
my girlfriends dad votes BNP. like most BNP supporters, he's very narrow minded and doesn't read too deep into it, he just takes it as face value. i'm working on him for the next election though :P.

StefanWolves
07-05-2010, 12:07 AM
Wow, CON just took Kingswood from LAB. Surprise there. Cameron COULD still get the majority!

Jordy
07-05-2010, 12:18 AM
Yeah Conservatives are still looking okay for a majority, they could do with more to be honest though. I think we'll know how it'll pan out in the next 90 minutes :)

kk.
07-05-2010, 01:16 AM
I hate you conservatives. Stealing my town to be made into a rubbish conservative constituency. Nicky Morgans a complete, er, well, I just dislike her lol

DrLacero
07-05-2010, 03:43 AM
I voted Liberal Democrat. Conservative won in my area:

Conservative - 22,853 - 46.9%
Labour - 11,789 - 24.2%
Liberal Democrat - 10,676 - 21.9%
UK Independence Party - 2,522 - 5.2%
Green - 923 - 1.9%

Damn farmers. Looks like my vote did sod all lol

It looks like this is going to be a bad few years.

Inseriousity.
07-05-2010, 08:30 AM
Mhm, I guessed the north (with the various general stereotype) would vote BNP, although now I guess they didn't actually bother to vote.

LOL or maybe the stereotype's wrong ;)
I voted Labour, Labour won.

Caution
07-05-2010, 09:34 AM
Lib Dems won here, as usual. :rolleyes:

Neversoft
07-05-2010, 04:45 PM
Labour won where I live, but the Conservatives dominated all of the surrounding areas.

Labour - 48.6%
Conservative - 32.2%
Lib Dem - 15.6%
Others - 3.6%

Looks like my vote was rather worthless.

kk.
07-05-2010, 06:10 PM
UKIP, Greens, and an independant all won seats, which is great news. i am worried about the increase in support for the BNP, though.

Jordy
07-05-2010, 06:11 PM
UKIP, Greens, and an independant all won seats, which is great news. i am worried about the increase in support for the BNP, though.UKIP Won seats? News to me, Farage's result was abysmal, I was always sceptical but third place?

kk.
07-05-2010, 06:13 PM
UKIP Won seats? News to me, Farage's result was abysmal, I was always sceptical but third place?

oh yeh my bad lmao, it was late last night when i read that, so must have followed the wrong line across :P mustve been the alliance party i read

Molly.22
07-05-2010, 06:39 PM
I like UKIP the best but I am supporting Conservative in the election.

alexxxxx
08-05-2010, 08:12 AM
IN my constituency, conservatives lost support to lib dem but won the seat with over 50% of the vote like usual.

Congratulations to the green party for winning a seat - it proves well run, non-extremist parties can get into government.

I see UKIP got a staggering 3.1% of the vote!

Tintinnabulate
08-05-2010, 09:14 AM
In my area, last time 37,458 voted.
This year it was 45,075. Lib Dems hold :@.

Jordy
08-05-2010, 10:05 AM
Tories took mine from Labour. Quite a shock too, over a 10% swing I believe and it wasn't even a Conservative target seat. I do happen to know the new MP but to be fair she's no angel so I'm not so bothered about it swinging to the Tories.

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