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View Full Version : UKIP only 10 points behind Tories, latest Opinium poll shows



-:Undertaker:-
10-03-2013, 04:17 AM
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/mar/09/ukip-opinium-observer-opinion-poll

Ukip only 10 points behind Tories, latest poll shows

Opinium/Observer poll has Nigel Farage's party on 17%, while 58% of voters believe government policies harming economy


http://news.images.itv.com/image/file/160286/image_update_9454366f17183562_1360424901_9j-4aaqsk.jpeg
Ukip leader Nigel Farage, whose party has soared to an all-time high of 17% in the latest poll.


The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats have suffered a double blow as Nigel Farage's UK Independence party soared to 17% in the latest Opinium/Observer poll, and a large majority of voters have said they believe coalition economic policies are harming the country.

Following its success in the Eastleigh by-election, where UKIP came second behind the Lib Dems, Farage's pro-independence party is up 4% on a fortnight ago, and now has more than double the support enjoyed by the Lib Dems, who are unchanged on 8%.

Labour, has dipped by 2% to 39% – also a likely victim of the Ukip bounce – while the Tories are down by the same amount to 27%, one of their lowest ratings of recent years.


http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pixies/2013/3/9/1362855300881/Opinium-poll-001.jpg


The personal ratings of the leaders of the three main parties in parliament have all dropped with David Cameron's having fallen by 8% in two weeks from -18% to -26%. That of Labour leader Ed Miliband has dropped 5% in a fortnight to -20% while Nick Clegg's rating has crashed a further 7% from -46% to an alarming -53%.

But the findings on the economy will reverberate most at Westminster. Just 20% of all voters now believe the government's economic policies have been beneficial to the economy, against 58% who say they have been harmful.

Even among Tory supporters only just over half (55%) think they have been beneficial, with 17% saying they have harmed the economy, and 22% either saying they have been neither harmful nor beneficial, or having no view.

Among Lib Dems only 24% think coalition economic policies have had a positive effect, while 40% think they have been harmful.

Opinium carried out an online survey of 1,950 adults in Great Britain, aged 18 and over, from 5 March to 7 March, 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

YouGov have also had the party on 12% for the past week or so, an all time high in relation to all YouGov polling. I'm inclined to believe the party is higher than the YouGov figure (which i've explained before regarding their methodology but some pollsters and analysts disagree with me) and based on past polling and eventual election results. 12% or 17%, they're still on the up it appears.

Also interesting to note that Farage had a private dinner with Murdoch (owner of the Sun and Times newspapers) the other week. Interesting as Murdoch isn't happy at all with Labour or the Conservatives regarding press regulation and attacks on News International - I wonder if anything will come of it.

Thoughts?

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