-:Undertaker:-
09-08-2023, 12:49 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/aug/08/no-vote-overtakes-yes-in-all-states-except-victoria-guardian-essential-poll-shows
No vote overtakes yes in all states except Victoria, Guardian Essential poll shows
Hard No opposition to the Indigenous voice rose in July but young people, women remain strong supporters
https://www.speakeasy-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/SN_Ozreferendum-1200x774.jpg
More Australians are planning to vote no in the Indigenous voice referendum than yes, a first for Guardian?s Essential poll.
The Essential poll of 1,150 voters released on Tuesday found that 47% did not approve of the voice, with 43% in favour and the remaining 10% unsure. That represents a reversal of July's results, which found yes narrowly ahead by the same margin.
In a further concerning sign for the yes campaign, opponents outnumbered supporters in all states except Victoria, putting the requirement for a majority of states in addition to a nationwide majority out of reach without a swing in sentiment.
On a state-by-state basis, no was ahead of yes in: Queensland, 51% to 40%; Western Australia, 48% to 39%; New South Wales, 47% to 41%; and South Australia 48% to 45%. In Victoria, yes was narrowly ahead 47% to 46%.
TDLR; So basically for anyone who doesn't know what this is, this autumn Australia is to vote on a constitutional referendum to decide whether there should be 'consultation' of Australian aboriginals on laws passed by the Australian Commonwealth Parliament. The Australian constitution requires over 50%+ nationally for a referendum to pass, in addition to at least 4 out of the 6 Australian states also having 50%+.
My view; Now I have been following this for a while and the Yes camp was leading the polls by a massive margin only a few months ago, but having paid close attention to the EU referendum campaign in 2016 (and been involved) I suspected that what's happening now with the narrowing in the polls and crossover would happen. I'm now seeing Yes supporters on Twitter lashing out at the Australian public calling them stupid because it appears that the referendum is going to fail.
Just as important as defeating this racial constititional veto, is the fact that defeating this Voice will also mean it is highly unlikely that the Labour government will push for a second republic referendum on the Australian monarchy. If they can't win this referendum, then the chances of a republic passing are even slimmer than they were in the 1999 referendum when the monarchy defeated the republic.
Thoughts?
No vote overtakes yes in all states except Victoria, Guardian Essential poll shows
Hard No opposition to the Indigenous voice rose in July but young people, women remain strong supporters
https://www.speakeasy-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/SN_Ozreferendum-1200x774.jpg
More Australians are planning to vote no in the Indigenous voice referendum than yes, a first for Guardian?s Essential poll.
The Essential poll of 1,150 voters released on Tuesday found that 47% did not approve of the voice, with 43% in favour and the remaining 10% unsure. That represents a reversal of July's results, which found yes narrowly ahead by the same margin.
In a further concerning sign for the yes campaign, opponents outnumbered supporters in all states except Victoria, putting the requirement for a majority of states in addition to a nationwide majority out of reach without a swing in sentiment.
On a state-by-state basis, no was ahead of yes in: Queensland, 51% to 40%; Western Australia, 48% to 39%; New South Wales, 47% to 41%; and South Australia 48% to 45%. In Victoria, yes was narrowly ahead 47% to 46%.
TDLR; So basically for anyone who doesn't know what this is, this autumn Australia is to vote on a constitutional referendum to decide whether there should be 'consultation' of Australian aboriginals on laws passed by the Australian Commonwealth Parliament. The Australian constitution requires over 50%+ nationally for a referendum to pass, in addition to at least 4 out of the 6 Australian states also having 50%+.
My view; Now I have been following this for a while and the Yes camp was leading the polls by a massive margin only a few months ago, but having paid close attention to the EU referendum campaign in 2016 (and been involved) I suspected that what's happening now with the narrowing in the polls and crossover would happen. I'm now seeing Yes supporters on Twitter lashing out at the Australian public calling them stupid because it appears that the referendum is going to fail.
Just as important as defeating this racial constititional veto, is the fact that defeating this Voice will also mean it is highly unlikely that the Labour government will push for a second republic referendum on the Australian monarchy. If they can't win this referendum, then the chances of a republic passing are even slimmer than they were in the 1999 referendum when the monarchy defeated the republic.
Thoughts?