US Presidential Election, 2024 - [VOTE]

[-:Undertaker:-]

US Presidential Election, 2024

President Donald J Trump will face off against Vice President Kamala Harris to replace President Joe Biden


https://e3.365dm.com/24/10/768x432/skynews-usteaser-uscomp_6705667.png?20241004091324


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V_dI9KXi2Rs


Americans will go to the polls on the 5th November 2024 to elect the 47th President of the United States of America. The main swing states that will decide the election are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Initially, Trump was leading Biden in the polling until Biden dropped out of the race and was replaced by Harris. Harris then saw a surge in support, leading Trump. As of today (mid-October) both candidates are more or less tied statistically both in nationwide polling and swing state polling.

You can vote in the HabboxForum poll to show your preference - your vote is confidential and anonymous.

[Hannah]

I really hope Trump doesn't get in again, but I fear he might.

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Momentum does seem to be swinging towards former President Trump in the polling.

He also went viral working a shift in McDonalds.

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Interesting to note that with what we Britons would call postal votes, 21 million Americans have already voted.

More rumours of the Democrats becoming a bit jittery with the recent polling trend. On these margins though, it's still a tossup.

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ORJI0-VSykQ

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12 Days To Go...

For fellow election nerds out there who are starting to gain an interest in the US Presidential Elections, there's a wonderful free website called https://www.270towin.com/ where you can build a map of the race to see who reaches 270 first. Quite interesting to input different polls/trends that you come across and see what comes up, and will give you an idea closer to election night of what to look for with the results.

I generally try to avoid pundits who have an impartial view, or to say myself who will win, because there's never any point in fooling yourself only to be disappointed or made to look a fool - something me and Sir David Davis MP have in common among many things. However, of the early polling data so far it is looking quite good for the Republicans - the problem the Democrats have is similar to Labour in Britain, that their vote piles up in the likes of New York and California but then falls short in the towns and rural areas.

Anyway, I try not to pick out partisan takes/polls but here's some more interesting things.

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[-:Undertaker:-]

The Donald just did a 3-hour interview with Joe Rogan, with 36 million views in three days. There's calls for Harris to do the same to gain some momentum back to her campaign, but as Elon Musk points out below - couldn't see that going well without a scripted set of questions and answers.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBMoPUAeLnY

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5 Days to go...

Final polls from the most accurate pollsters in the 2020 Presidential election.

Also, The Donald dressed in a bin man's uniform after President Biden labelled his supporters as trash.

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Two days to go...

Very contradictory polling coming out lately, and you have to be careful as a lot of American polling can have a political bias.

These are the two interesting ones tonight with two days to go. Firstly you've got the reliable AtlasIntel poll across the swing states showing Trump sweeping the board there and thus winning the presidency, but just below you've got the respected Ann Seltzer poll from Iowa which is unexpectedly showing Harris ahead in the traditional Republican state - if that poll is true, that would suggest bad news elsewhere for the GOP.

So we're none the wiser lol. Is anybody else staying up to watch? I will if I'm not due to do anything (placement/job) the next day.

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Just over a day to go...

Another slew of statewide polls, some final.

If you want something really interesting, check out https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ which at the right hand side if you scroll down you can see what the polls were this far out from the election in both 2016 and 2020. That to me is what if I were a betting man, I'd be putting money on.

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So today is election day in America.

Here are the statistics (a compilation of all the polls) from RealClearPolitics I think are what we need to know.

ON THIS DAY...

...in 2016 the national polls had Clinton ahead by +3.2%

...in 2020 the national polls had Biden ahead by +6.9%

...in 2024 the national polls have Trump ahead by +0.2%


In other news, Elon Musk has convinced Joe Rogan to endorse Donald Trump.

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And here are the final videos from the candidates.


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[Shannon]

Trump will win :(

Why am i awake and watching bbc US results? #jetlag (https://habboxforum.com/usertag.php?do=list&action=hash&hash=jetlag)

[-:Undertaker:-]

Not yet officially called but FOX News have and he's made a victory speech. Other sites all but acknowledging it.

President Donald J Trump spent the night with Elon Musk and Nigel Farage MP watching the results come in.

It's now pretty certain he's the 47th (and formerly 45th) President of the United States of America, until 2029. That makes him the second, and first since Grover Cleveland in the 1880s, president to be re-elected in a non-consecutive term. A hugely historical moment. He's also now defeated the two-only women candidates for president that have stood - torpedoing the idea that minority voters care about identity politics above all else.

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[LUCPIX]

Holy shit

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It looks like he's won all the swing states in a landslide. He's also won the popular vote.

He and his Vice president, JD Vance, will inaugurated on the 20th January 2025 as the 47th President.

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The results (in terms of electoral college votes) are in.


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GbwBVFOXcAIs2W-?format=jpg&name=900x900


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Just musing to myself but the main benefits of a Trump presidency for Britain is likely to be the completion of an Anglo-American FTA (Free Trade Deal) which has been stalled by the Biden administration since 2021. Another benefit in terms of our influence abroad will be the pressure that Trump will put on other NATO members who aren't paying the required 2% of GDP on military spending, effectively freeloading from the British, American and other taxpayers. For the alliance to work, each member must contribute - a basic rule of any club.

We'll likely see an official State Visit by the King and Queen to America now that they're recommencing international trips in 2025. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it is during the 250th birthday celebrations next year that President Trump is planning to hold - he's a huge Anglophile after all with his mother being Scottish, and I can imagine having Their Majesties stateside for it would be the cherry on the cake for him.

[-:Undertaker:-]

Here's behind the scenes showing just how much he adores Britain.

If our leaders across both main parties, and the SNP in Scotland, had any diplomatic skill or savvy about them at all whether they agreed with him politically or not, they'd be showering him with the likes of honorary knighthoods (President Ronald Reagan was given one) and whatever else they could think of. But they're too pig-headed and politically shallow to even contemplate that, instead making daft comparisons with him to Adolf Hitler - like a Sixth Form politics student would. The missed opportunities despite having such a pro-UK president in office are huge.

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