General Election

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08-04-2010, 02:05 PM
Sameer!

I have a feeling this election is going to real tight....
08-04-2010, 02:16 PM
Axel

Ughh I don't like those pollster figures. Silly Conservatives.
08-04-2010, 02:23 PM
Smits

Quote:

Originally Posted by FlyDuo

Good show. I believe the Liberal Democrats do fairly well in Burnley?

I think they seem to do alright yeah. They always have a lot of tables set up in the centre throughout the year which always get a bit of interest.

Think one of their main pulling points round here was the support for hospitals staying open, which a lot of people like since it is a big thing around here.

One of the main things that pulls me towards them over others is the promise of abolishing university fees, whether it would happen or not,
08-04-2010, 02:25 PM
luce

35.3% Labour Party
32.3% Conservative and Unionist Party
22.1% Liberal Democrats
2.2% United Kingdom Independence Party
1.0% Green Party of England & Wales
0.7% British National Party

I think BNP will get more because a lot of people are fed up with immigrants and just want something done.
Conservative will get in (i hope) and i also hope UKIP do really well as well i don't get a vote where i live even if i was of age and if i was my vote would be going to Conservative or UKIP.
08-04-2010, 02:34 PM
Jordy

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smits

I think they seem to do alright yeah. They always have a lot of tables set up in the centre throughout the year which always get a bit of interest.

Think one of their main pulling points round here was the support for hospitals staying open, which a lot of people like since it is a big thing around here.

One of the main things that pulls me towards them over others is the promise of abolishing university fees, whether it would happen or not,

Abolishing University Fees is totally unworkable and the Lib Dems have even admitted themselves they probably can't afford to do so. There'd need to be some radical changes to the education system to make it feasible.

Now the Lib Dems now have a half-hearted all over the place policy to scrap them over a period of six years (Two parliaments!), even then it's unaffordable; http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/8421092.stm - Beforehand I can see why people would vote Lib Dems as they were clearly going to get rid of tuition fees but now they're just utterly confused and the money isn't there.
08-04-2010, 06:23 PM
Catzsy

Quote:

Originally Posted by Luccy.

35.3% Labour Party
32.3% Conservative and Unionist Party
22.1% Liberal Democrats
2.2% United Kingdom Independence Party
1.0% Green Party of England & Wales
0.7% British National Party

I think BNP will get more because a lot of people are fed up with immigrants and just want something done.
Conservative will get in (i hope) and i also hope UKIP do really well as well i don't get a vote where i live even if i was of age and if i was my vote would be going to Conservative or UKIP.

Luccy where is that poll from - got a link? I haven't seen any with labour in the lead. :S
08-04-2010, 06:41 PM
-:Undertaker:-

Quote:

Originally Posted by Catzsy

Luccy where is that poll from - got a link? I haven't seen any with labour in the lead. :S

They were the General Election 2005 results if i'm not mistaken. At the moment the figures are around these (taken from what i've seen in polls);

Conservative & Unionist Party are at the 36% to 38% region.
Labour Party is at the 29% to 34% region.
Liberal Democrats are at the 16% to 21% region.
United Kingdom Independence Party is at the 5% to 7% region.
British National Party is at around the 4% mark.
Green Party of England and Wales is at or around the 3% mark.
08-04-2010, 08:12 PM
MrPinkPanther

Quote:

Originally Posted by -:Undertaker:-

United Kingdom Independence Party is at the 5% to 7% region.
British National Party is at around the 4% mark.
Green Party of England and Wales is at or around the 3% mark.

You wish. Together those add up to 12-14% which is higher than "Others" in most polls and thats not including independents and other political parties which actually get quite a lot of votes (Sinn fein, SNP etc).
09-04-2010, 01:59 AM
-:Undertaker:-

Quote:

Originally Posted by FlyDuo

You wish. Together those add up to 12-14% which is higher than "Others" in most polls and thats not including independents and other political parties which actually get quite a lot of votes (Sinn fein, SNP etc).

Angus Reid is the only pollster to include the smaller parties, so its not 'I wish' - that is what the smaller parties are on. I have poor skills in mathematics but those add upto 100% and if you have a pair of eyeballs you would quite clearly be able to see i've put the swing into the calculations. I have added scope because; the swing between UKIP, the BNP & the Greens is supposed to be around that figure, now as most pollsters do not add the smaller parties we can assume this will be slightly higher (especially the UKIP vote going from the Conservatives to UKIP).

Concerning the total add up of the 'Other' margin, check most pollsters and that is the predicted region. From around 9% to 15% is the predicted region for the smaller parties; BNP, UKIP and the Green Party. I suggest in future rather than coming out with something you have looked into very little judging by your tone, you check sites such as the UKPolling Report or even just look on Sky News where they have the figures from numerous pollsters (yougov, Mori and so on) which matches exactly the figures I am giving you.

So no, I know you want an argument over polling figures but i've been checking the polls daily since the summer and those are the predicted results for the smaller parties and main parties. What I always finds strange is, you are quick dishing it out but not that keen on ever taking it back hence why you very rarely reply to any of my answers. Anyway, wasn't it you(?) who predicted the Liberal Democrats to suprise everyone in this election only a few months ago? - i'm optimistic but i'm not naive.
09-04-2010, 09:59 AM
Catzsy

Only thing I would say, Dan, is that Angus Read does seem to be out of step with almost all the other polls but I would agree that UKIP are gaining ground from the last election and I have read 4/5% quite a few times for them
but not 7%. They are certainly not the 'joke' they used to be seen as and compared with the greens and some other longstanding small parties they have progressed quite a way in a short time.

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