Originally Posted by The Sun
The figures, based on a YouGov poll, are worse than the parties feared. A Tory insider said last night: “It’s alarming. Nearly two-thirds of those voting are in our heartlands.”
Some 2,480 seats in 35 English councils are up for grabs on May 2.
But more than one in four who voted Tory in 2010 would not do so now, YouGov found. Three-quarters of deserters will back UKIP. It could see Tories lose prized councils such as Lancashire — Labour for 28 years until 2009 — as well as Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire.
Tories could also lose eight councils to no overall control. Labour and UKIP are poised to do well, says Plymouth Uni’s Prof Colin Rallings. Labour, on 240 seats, could win an extra 370. And UKIP, on ten, could raise that to 50.
A Labour source said: “If we won 200 seats it would be an outstanding result.”