US Presidential Election, 2024 - [VOTE]

[-:Undertaker:-]

US Presidential Election, 2024

President Donald J Trump will face off against Vice President Kamala Harris to replace President Joe Biden

Americans will go to the polls on the 5th November 2024 to elect the 47th President of the United States of America. The main swing states that will decide the election are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Initially, Trump was leading Biden in the polling until Biden dropped out of the race and was replaced by Harris. Harris then saw a surge in support, leading Trump. As of today (mid-October) both candidates are more or less tied statistically both in nationwide polling and swing state polling.

You can vote in the HabboxForum poll to show your preference - your vote is confidential and anonymous.

[Hannah]

I really hope Trump doesn't get in again, but I fear he might.

[-:Undertaker:-]

Momentum does seem to be swinging towards former President Trump in the polling.

He also went viral working a shift in McDonalds.

#NEW Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update

🔴 Trump: 53.1%
🔵 Harris: 46.6%

“There are now three recent high-quality national polls that show Donald Trump leading — a difficult circumstance for Harris.” pic.twitter.com/bWaPnUZeHL

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 20, 2024

pic.twitter.com/YkLtEaC3OI

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 21, 2024

[-:Undertaker:-]

Interesting to note that with what we Britons would call postal votes, 21 million Americans have already voted.

More rumours of the Democrats becoming a bit jittery with the recent polling trend. On these margins though, it's still a tossup.

#NEW NATIONAL poll - favorable/unfavorable rating

🔴 Trump: 50%-48% (+2)
🔵 Harris: 48%-50% (-2)

*First election Trump has entered with a positive favorability rating

Gallup | 10/22 pic.twitter.com/AxAmwWgrcA

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 22, 2024

News - The Harris campaign is concerned about Michigan and North Carolina - NBC

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 22, 2024

[-:Undertaker:-]

12 Days To Go...

For fellow election nerds out there who are starting to gain an interest in the US Presidential Elections, there's a wonderful free website called https://www.270towin.com/ where you can build a map of the race to see who reaches 270 first. Quite interesting to input different polls/trends that you come across and see what comes up, and will give you an idea closer to election night of what to look for with the results.

I generally try to avoid pundits who have an impartial view, or to say myself who will win, because there's never any point in fooling yourself only to be disappointed or made to look a fool - something me and Sir David Davis MP have in common among many things. However, of the early polling data so far it is looking quite good for the Republicans - the problem the Democrats have is similar to Labour in Britain, that their vote piles up in the likes of New York and California but then falls short in the towns and rural areas.

Anyway, I try not to pick out partisan takes/polls but here's some more interesting things.

The thing to remember about polls like this, and the overall national average. Harris needs a buffer of about +3% to have any confidence of victory. https://t.co/We63WkUA4O

— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) October 23, 2024

One thing to understand about the "Democratic Panic". At this stage of the race it isn't poll driven. It's data driven. The Harris campaign now have hard numbers based on early voting. And those numbers are clearly filtering out into the wider Democratic Party. And people aren't… https://t.co/LI9LIIYIJj

— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) October 24, 2024