Britain's General Election called for 4th July 2024

[Shannon]

100% voting green - everyone else is a waste of space at this point!!

Might start my own party - the shannoist party what do you think?

[-:Undertaker:-]

Some more polling mirroring the YouGov I posted yesterday... Reform closing the gap with the Conservatives.

Also added some focus group thoughts and the Marr interview with Rob Ford on polling / Lord Howard.

Also @Shannon; it'll be interested to see whether the Greens hold onto Brighton given Caroline Lucas is retiring - the loss of a familiar face alongside having to resist the Labour surge across the country which will be concentrated somewhere like Brighton.

Tied-lowest ever Conservative %.

Equals worst under Liz Truss.

Highest ever Reform UK %.

Westminster VI (5/6-6/6):

Labour 42% (-4)
Conservative 19% (-1)
Reform UK 17% (+3)
Lib Dem 12% (+2)
Green 6% (+1)
SNP 3% (+1)
Other 2% (–)

Changes +/- 31/5-2/6https://t.co/armERKUztI pic.twitter.com/hR7DElKeJp

— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) June 6, 2024

NEW: @TimesRadio @JLPartnersPolls focus group with Conservative-to-Reform switchers in Gedling, Ashfield and Derby North

💥 Nigel Farage "positive", "vocal", "outspoken", "arrogant", "refreshing"

💥 They like - and want - a "Donald Trump for the UK", someone not a "gentleman"…

— James Johnson (@jamesjohnson252) June 6, 2024

Message I got off an old friend.

When Farage says ''something is happening out there'' he means this. pic.twitter.com/VSOcrlotgj

— Morgoth (@MorgothsReview) June 6, 2024

[-:Undertaker:-]

There was the only multi-party debate last night on BBC with Labour/Conservatives/Liberal Democrats/Reform/SNP/Plaid/Greens.

Polling was done in the aftermath among viewers, again giving Reform a boost.

There's one more major debate planned between Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer.

🚨NEW @Moreincommon_ poll of debate watchers: Who won?

Farage on top, Rayner 2nd, none of the above 3rd

Farage - 25%
Rayner - 19%
None of the above - 14%
Denyer - 11%
Flynn - 10%
Mordaunt - 7%
Cooper - 5%
ap Iowerth - 2%

Don’t know - 8%

N=1,031 Viewers pic.twitter.com/I9BoSDrWy6

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) June 7, 2024

“The winner of the debate, according to viewers, was Nigel Farage with 25%, followed by Angela Rayner on 19%”

Luke Tryl, Executive Director of More in Common UK, reveals the results of polling debate watchers.
#Newsnight pic.twitter.com/NDV2rMZoeD

— BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) June 7, 2024

[-:Undertaker:-]

Reform now only one point behind the Tories with YouGov.

Sky News / YouGov exclusive poll

** Tories joint lowest VI share in Parliament
** Reform just ONE point behind
** Lab down 3; LD up 4

LAB 38% (-3),
CON 18% (-1),
RefUK 17% (+1),
LDEM 15% (+4),
GRN 8% (+1)

Fieldwork Mon/Tue (around Lib Dem manfiesto coverage)

— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) June 11, 2024

NEW: Nigel Farage is now more popular than Rishi Sunak with Conservative 2019 voters.

The latest (post-D Day) @RestIsPolitics @JLPartnersPolls finds Sunak with a net rating of +8 and Farage on +15 with this group.

Tables: https://t.co/clqqzVlble
Podcast: https://t.co/ySDjg9yijU pic.twitter.com/5cz91echwl

— James Johnson (@jamesjohnson252) June 11, 2024