The HxF Mole - Task 4: Higher or Lower

[Charz777]

Task 1: 0/15 days
Task 2: 0/7 days
Task 3: 4/8 days
Task 4: 0/9 days
Task 5: 0/8 days
Task6: 0/0 days
Total: 4/150 days

We have taken two post count readings. The first was taken when the Introduction thread was posted, the second was taken immediately after the first execution ended.

You must decide between you who the first player will be.

The first player needs to estimate the combined post count increase for all players. For example, if Dave had 1,200 posts at the Introduction thread and 1,242 at the execution thread his increase is 42 posts. If Sarah and Jane have increased their post counts by 57 and 13 respectively, then the combined increase for Dave, Sarah and Jane is 112.

After the first player has estimated, the group will then be told if they are higher or lower than the correct amount.

The second player must then make an adjustment to the first players estimate, for example, if Harry’s guess was 100 then he is too low and therefore the next player, Sam, would guess +7 which takes them to 107 which is still too low. This will continue until time runs out or every player has guessed.

If you get the answer dead on, the player who submitted that answer will win an exemption and the task will end whether or not every player has had their turn.

You will get 9 days of VIP if your estimate is 1% out, 7 days if you’re 2% out, 5 days if you’re 3% out, and 3 days if you’re 5% out and 1 day if you’re 10% out.

Reminder: Each player can only have one guess, which as always must be in bold for it to count.

All valid posts in bold will be taken as a submission. You may discuss the task freely, including the submissions that you wish to put forward as a final answer, before you have posted them in bold.

If there are any errors within the task, or any questions – just post in the thread.

[Phil]

Well to start this off, I doubt I posted even ten posts

[FlyingJesus]

Posts don't increase in here so we can discount all game posts, and then just use the "last posts" feature on profiles to count the rest

[Phil]

I have still have access to the script David made to record the amount of posts staff make in a certain amount of time

[Rozi]

shall everyone look back through their post counts and estimate what they think their post count could be?

[RyRy]

Ill have a look through mine tomorrow after work

[wixard]

alright well my post count should be 8

[Rozi]

think mines about 6
its hard to count around all the forum games and spam

[wixard]

i guess we can get people to triple check
ill check yours rosie

---------- Post added 11-02-2013 at 02:30 AM ----------

ROSIE YOURS IS 3

[Rozi]

OH LOL

how did you find out
i got bored
i'll check yours

---------- Post added 11-02-2013 at 02:33 AM ----------

tara I think yours is 9 but not sure