Survation poll: Ukip surge to 25% (meaning 128 MPs) with Tories and Labour on 31%

[-:Undertaker:-]

I believe ICM also had a (not quite record) high for UKIP too.

Just seen this from IpsosMori...

The barrier of FPTP 'wasted vote' is being overcome. Very dangerous for the Tories in particular.

[Chippiewill]

Just seen this from IpsosMori...

The barrier of FPTP 'wasted vote' is being overcome. Very dangerous for the Tories in particular.

I don't mean to belittle that achievement, because that is a great shift. But I suspect part of that change in response will be coming from people parroting the media which in the wake of the Clacton result mentioned in just about every conservative interview "If you vote UKIP you don't get labour you get UKIP".

When people answer these types of poll questions they often try to put their opinion aside and just end up saying what the news has said.

[-:Undertaker:-]

I don't mean to belittle that achievement, because that is a great shift. But I suspect part of that change in response will be coming from people parroting the media which in the wake of the Clacton result mentioned in just about every conservative interview "If you vote UKIP you don't get labour you get UKIP".

When people answer these types of poll questions they often try to put their opinion aside and just end up saying what the news has said.

Oh indeed, but then isn't a lot of party politics about media presentation/perception and momentum?

Sun Politics ‏@Sun_Politics 45m45 minutes ago

YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead by two points, Ukip hit record level of support:

CON 31%
LAB 33%
LD 7%
UKIP 19%
GRN 5%

Tom Newton Dunn (Sun Political Editor) ‏@tnewtondunn 39m39 minutes ago

Alarming numbers for Tories and Lab in our @YouGov tonight; combined 31% + 33% is lowest this Parliament, while UKIP on new record high 19%.

Another record high with YouGov tonight, unprompted too.