YouGov Nowcast

There's a new tool the pollster YouGov have created on their website and it is a forecaster not anything else, and basically they forecast a result based on demographics, attitudes and past electoral data in your area. How accurate it will be we don't know, but it is a new interesting tool that has some use now that Uniform Swing Calculators are pretty much useless given how many political parties are now recieving signifigant and varied support.

https://yougov.co.uk/#/centre < --- Type in your Postcode or constituency (if you know it).

And it'll take you to a page and a forecast of first, second and third places for your local area.

YouGov Nowcast predicts my home seat as a Labour hold which is no surprise given how it's the strongest/2nd strongest in country.

1st Labour
2nd Ukip
3rd Others
4th Conservatives
5th Liberal Democrats

http://www.ezimba.com/work/150419C/e...7085050900.png

It doesn't change how I am going to vote anyway as I am not a fan of tactical voting. In any case, I have the option on election day to vote somewhere in the east of the country (Yorkshire) as I am travelling where my preferred party has a better chance so i'm going to use my vote there rather than at home.

How about you?

http://i.imgur.com/j36bdp3.png

my con mp is really crap he deserves to lose

You don't tactically vote but you're going to travel to the other side of the country so you can +1 UKIP there to give them more a chance?

Mine has SNP on top of course followed 10% lower by Labour, 20% lower Cons, 5% lower Other 2% lower Libs

Quote:

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Originally Posted by scottish

You don't tactically vote but you're going to travel to the other side of the country so you can +1 UKIP there to give them more a chance?

Mine has SNP on top of course followed 10% lower by Labour, 20% lower Cons, 5% lower Other 2% lower Libs

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No, I just happen to be travelling that day so I can either vote in morning or afternoon at either address.

So you're still tactically voting, as you're going to the place where they have a better chance of getting the seat to place your vote, rather than as standard in your home area.

For as long as I can remember we always had a Labour council until the last elections when we turned to Conservative. http://images.tapatalk-cdn.com/15/04...b7e74a8ae9.jpg

afk x

Quote:

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Originally Posted by scottish

So you're still tactically voting, as you're going to the place where they have a better chance of getting the seat to place your vote, rather than as standard in your home area.

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Not tactically voting as in what you know I mean, ie voting X to keep Y out.

The figures for my other seat are more or less the same anyway, just the gap between the two is smaller.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by scottish

So you're still tactically voting, as you're going to the place where they have a better chance of getting the seat to place your vote, rather than as standard in your home area.

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he just said he just so happens to be travelling shut up

http://i.imgur.com/PpxVCpS.jpg?1

omf predicts cons in a seat that has never been anything else since 1945 :P magic

Don't they tell you where your local polling station is that you have to vote in or is that literally just telling you the closest one? Idk