YouGov Nowcast

There's a new tool the pollster YouGov have created on their website and it is a forecaster not anything else, and basically they forecast a result based on demographics, attitudes and past electoral data in your area. How accurate it will be we don't know, but it is a new interesting tool that has some use now that Uniform Swing Calculators are pretty much useless given how many political parties are now recieving signifigant and varied support.

https://yougov.co.uk/#/centre < --- Type in your Postcode or constituency (if you know it).

And it'll take you to a page and a forecast of first, second and third places for your local area.

YouGov Nowcast predicts my home seat as a Labour hold which is no surprise given how it's the strongest/2nd strongest in country.

1st Labour
2nd Ukip
3rd Others
4th Conservatives
5th Liberal Democrats

http://www.ezimba.com/work/150419C/e...7085050900.png

It doesn't change how I am going to vote anyway as I am not a fan of tactical voting. In any case, I have the option on election day to vote somewhere in the east of the country (Yorkshire) as I am travelling where my preferred party has a better chance so i'm going to use my vote there rather than at home.

How about you?

http://i.imgur.com/j36bdp3.png

my con mp is really crap he deserves to lose

You don't tactically vote but you're going to travel to the other side of the country so you can +1 UKIP there to give them more a chance?

Mine has SNP on top of course followed 10% lower by Labour, 20% lower Cons, 5% lower Other 2% lower Libs

Quote:

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Originally Posted by scottish

You don't tactically vote but you're going to travel to the other side of the country so you can +1 UKIP there to give them more a chance?

Mine has SNP on top of course followed 10% lower by Labour, 20% lower Cons, 5% lower Other 2% lower Libs

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No, I just happen to be travelling that day so I can either vote in morning or afternoon at either address.

So you're still tactically voting, as you're going to the place where they have a better chance of getting the seat to place your vote, rather than as standard in your home area.

For as long as I can remember we always had a Labour council until the last elections when we turned to Conservative. http://images.tapatalk-cdn.com/15/04...b7e74a8ae9.jpg

afk x

Quote:

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Originally Posted by scottish

So you're still tactically voting, as you're going to the place where they have a better chance of getting the seat to place your vote, rather than as standard in your home area.

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Not tactically voting as in what you know I mean, ie voting X to keep Y out.

The figures for my other seat are more or less the same anyway, just the gap between the two is smaller.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by scottish

So you're still tactically voting, as you're going to the place where they have a better chance of getting the seat to place your vote, rather than as standard in your home area.

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he just said he just so happens to be travelling shut up

http://i.imgur.com/PpxVCpS.jpg?1

omf predicts cons in a seat that has never been anything else since 1945 :P magic

Don't they tell you where your local polling station is that you have to vote in or is that literally just telling you the closest one? Idk

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Alkaz

Don't they tell you where your local polling station is that you have to vote in or is that literally just telling you the closest one? Idk

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This is just a vote share prediction (not a poll) of your local constituency seat.

You find out where your polling station is if you are registered to vote, they'll send you a polling card telling you. I got mine the other day.

Not surprised. Mine has been Cons since the 80s, and the Lib Dems came 2nd here last election too.

I know that Labour isn't popular here, but I did not expect UKIP to be predicted higher than them :o

Also I'm disgusted the most popular newspaper here is the Daily Mail :(

http://i.imgur.com/oslNvTX.png

http://tashload.com/Uploader/uploads//dpc4b2w.png

It's interesting to see all the housing, ethnicity and other facts for the people.

Mine:

Older than East Midlands
Less Religious than East Midlands (+6%)
More Owned/Mortgage than East Midlands (+3%)
More Retired than East Midlands (+2%)

http://i.imgur.com/qTs8wuM.png

I'm voting Labour...

Conservatives and Labour well ahead in my Uni constituency - UKIP a distant third. Cosnervative's well ahead in my home town.