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  1. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by FiftyCal View Post
    I'm hoping he will win primary, if he does i'm pretty sure it's going to be between obama vs paul and if that happens i'm pretty sure he has a good chance of winning.
    It gets a bit more complicated than that, I think I mentioned somewhere else, but Iowa is a caucus, whilst some other states are primary states, which in essence means people have to register to be republican to vote- so that means all these different political factions currently voting for Paul in Iowa will probably have to go the extra mile in the primary states.
    Last edited by Grig; 03-01-2012 at 08:46 AM.
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  2. #12
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    The real candidates don't always appear until the last minute. I even doubt when push comes to shove he will even win Iowa. Even if he does there is an awful long way to go.

  3. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Catzsy View Post
    The real candidates don't always appear until the last minute. I even doubt when push comes to shove he will even win Iowa. Even if he does there is an awful long way to go.
    I don't know what that asseration is based on, the real candidates are surely the ones with the money and the steady support?



    As the graph shows, only Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have enjoyed steady support over the course of the campaign, the rest have been flash in the pans (up over a few weeks, and then straight back down again). Not only that, but the only ones with any type of organisation and substantial funding to fight beyond Iowa/New Hampshire are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Perry if you go solely on funding.

    It is going to be hard as hell granted, even if he does win Iowa. With vested interests against him, you can see why..

    Top donations for Ron Paul;

    US Army personnel/fmr
    US Air Force personnel/fmr
    US Navy personnel/fmr

    Top donations for Mitt Romney;

    Goldman Sachs
    JP Morgan
    Citigroup
    Last edited by -:Undertaker:-; 03-01-2012 at 11:27 AM.


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  4. #14
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    A great video from 1/1/12 (Iowa) before the results if anybody is interested, just a feel of the grassroots which you don't see often;


    (especially the woman from 8:30)
    Last edited by -:Undertaker:-; 03-01-2012 at 06:18 PM.


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  5. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by -:Undertaker:- View Post
    I don't know what that asseration is based on, the real candidates are surely the ones with the money and the steady support?



    As the graph shows, only Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have enjoyed steady support over the course of the campaign, the rest have been flash in the pans (up over a few weeks, and then straight back down again). Not only that, but the only ones with any type of organisation and substantial funding to fight beyond Iowa/New Hampshire are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Perry if you go solely on funding.

    It is going to be hard as hell granted, even if he does win Iowa. With vested interests against him, you can see why..

    Top donations for Ron Paul;

    US Army personnel/fmr
    US Air Force personnel/fmr
    US Navy personnel/fmr

    Top donations for Mitt Romney;


    Goldman Sachs
    JP Morgan
    Citigroup

    Actions speak louder than words. Coming third does not bode well for him. As I have always said from the beginning I would be absolutely amazed if he got the nomination.

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