the tourni thing......

[Samantha]

cracka is being released at midnightttt

Ah ok, thank you .

[Inseriousity.]

Yeah it's only 'coming soon' cos i posted it early as I expected a thread like this and there were early morning events scheduled on 17th

[Chippiewill]

There's a 1 in 50 chance of getting each piece

From some fairly basic initial calculations it seems that the probability of anyone winning outright is minuscule.

[Inseriousity.]

I naturally want to hold onto the throne for as long as possible. MY PRECIOUS!!!

lolol no because it entirely depends on how many snowflakes are won. I've seen how some calm and level-headed people turn into rabid addicts frothing at the mouth when there's a tournament starting.

oh and it does say that if no-one wins by the end, the one with the most pieces will win until all three prizes are given.

[Chippiewill]

lolol no because it entirely depends on how many snowflakes are won.

How exactly does it work. Does each snowflake in a day go into one raffle or does each snowflake go into it's own raffle?

[Inseriousity.]

The latter.

[Chippiewill]

The latter.

Generous odds suggest a 9.2x10^-9 chance of a specific person winning outright.

[Inseriousity.]

That means absolutely nothing to me lol.

[Chippiewill]

That means absolutely nothing to me lol.

Well, since 0.01 reflects a 1% chance of someone winning then this reflects a millionth of a percent chance of a specific person winning.

[Inseriousity.]

Lol yes I'd love it if it lasted the whole two weeks so I won't complain with that calculation.