LIVE: Scottish Independence Referendum Results

[Lewis]

so which one is more accurate?

[Chippiewill]

so which one is more accurate?

From a methodological perspective I would imagine Yougov to be more accurate.

[scottish]

Hope so, more exciting in that case.

[-:Undertaker:-]

so which one is more accurate?

We won't know until the day obviously, referendums in themselves are harder to predict accurately as you haven't got as much past data. There's an ICM apparently out soon, and it's a highly respected pollster, so it may give us more of a clue when we look at the recent three.

Professor John Curtice's poll of polls currently has it split at NO: 53% and YES: 47% - http://www.scotcen.org.uk/blog/maybe...anelbase-polls

[wixard]

i want them to get independence just to see how it goes

[Chippiewill]

From a methodological perspective I would imagine Yougov to be more accurate.

Just checked out Panelbase, it seems they're an opt-in website survey service. I wouldn't trust their result as anything other than a vague guess.

[-:Undertaker:-]

From a methodological perspective I would imagine Yougov to be more accurate.

Interesting from Mike Smithson though, that YouGov was most out in the AV 2011 referendum. Apple and oranges I know, but still..

https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/stat...941184/photo/1

[Chippiewill]

Dan, I wouldn't expect you to be so susceptible to cherry-picking.

[buttons]

forget what the polls are saying. we can't predict especially as there's many still undecided. i bet some of them go and just make their mind up when they're there. we still have a few days left for people to make up their mind as well.
i wonder how much have went from yes voting to no voting and vice versa. ive personally always been against it but im swaying more towards yes. however im not going to be at home to vote so my opinion doesn't matter.

[Kardan]

Surely @-:Undertaker:-; the poll you posted, the poll of polls is pretty much useless, I mean, it's taking an average of loads of polls - but surely the most recent polls hold more truth than the older polls?