UK General Election 2017 Megathread

[lemons]

jajaja yougov is on drugs

one of the seats they are predicting cons will lose to labour is mine and I can assure you it will be conservative as it has been for a long time

also even with those seat projections labour + snp + lib dems do not have enough seats so it's safe to say any coalition this election will be conservatives + other parties and not labour

[-:Undertaker:-]

Two polls out so far this evening with both giving what still equates to a Tory majority.

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 43% (-2)
LAB: 37% (+2)
LDEM: 6% (-1)
UKIP: 5% (-)
GRN: 2% (-)

(via @OpiniumResearch / 30 - 31 May)

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 3, 2017

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 47% (+1)
LAB: 35% (+1)
LDEM: 8% (-)
UKIP: 4% (-)
GRN: 1% (-)

(via @ComRes)

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 3, 2017

And...

ComRes is still the pollster with the biggest Tory lead, but could it actually be bigger? https://t.co/MuskKgqIkK pic.twitter.com/2Kkb35hWr7

— John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) June 3, 2017

[lawrawrrr]

Given Labour are nowhere near a parliamentary majority, for him to become PM would likely result in a 3-party coalition of Labour, the SNP and a Northern Irish republican party or the Liberal Democrats. On top of the parties literally pulling the nation apart given that's the main aim of the SNP and SDLP/Sinn Fein, you'd then have the fact the PM and the Cabinet wouldn't even agree on major issues like Trident with the rest of the parliamentary Labour Party.

The only redeeming thing about a Corbyn government is that it would be funny given you couldn't write it as a comedy script.

realistically I doubt it'll happen until the next GE at least but theoretically interesting to consider. Especially if he refuses to step down if they lose (which he's said he'll do).

[lemons]

holy molys!

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (-6)
LAB: 39% (+5)
LDEM: 8% (-)
UKIP: 5% (+2)

(via @Survation / 03 Jun)

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 3, 2017

[MKR&*42]

Obligatory gif:

[lemons]

im a lil bit shook! this election is gunna end the careers of not only JC or TM but also some pollsters

- - - Updated - - -

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (+1)
LAB: 36% (-2)
LDEM: 8% (+1)
UKIP: 4% (-1)

(via ORB / 31 May - 01 Jun)

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 3, 2017

[lemons]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (-)
LAB: 34% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (+1)
UKIP: 5% (-)
GRN: 3% (-)

(via @ICMResearch)

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 3, 2017

- - - Updated - - -

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 42% (-)
LAB: 38% (-1)
LDEM: 9% (+2)
UKIP: 4% (-)

(via @YouGov / 01 - 02 Jun)

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 3, 2017

[lemons]

Tory leads

Survation +1
YouGov +4
Opinium +6
ORB +9
ICM +11
ComRes +12


LOOL! Crazy

[lawrawrrr]

Obligatory gif:

i snorted so hard i hurt my throat

[-:Undertaker:-]

Lmao. There's something for everyone in tonight's polls then.



The averages.

In a brilliant bit of work my colleague @mragilligan has found that young voters are disproportionately registering in safe Labour seats

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 3, 2017

Tory ministers say seats they expect to gain in North East and Midlands they could get 80 majority. But London/Wales less good

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 3, 2017

Gilligan research suggests much of the young people surge won't help Labour win seats

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 3, 2017

All gonna come down to who turns out on the day.