SNP leads Labour by a massive 28% nearly 100 days before the General Election

[-:Undertaker:-]

SNP leads Labour by a massive 28% in Scotland, says poll with just over 100 days until the General Election

SNP 52% = 55 seats out of 59 (2010 = 6 seats)
LAB 24% = 4 seats out of 59 (2010 = 41 seats)
CON 12% = 0 seats out of 59 (2010 = 1 seat)
LD 4% = 0 seats out of 59 (2010 = 11 seats)
GRN 4% = n/a
UKIP 1% = n/a

The latest opinion polls north of the border will make dire reading for Labour party strategists.

An Ipsos Mori poll, commissioned by the STV shows Labour would be crushed in Scotland by an insurgent SNP if the General Election were held today. The SNP lead Labour in Scotland by a whopping 28 points on 52 per cent compared to Labour's 24 per cent.

On a uniform national swing, this would leave Labour with a poultry four seats in Scotland compared to its current 41. The SNP would scoop 55 seats and could become the third largest party in Westminster if the Lib Dems lose several seats.

According to today's poll, the leader of the Labour party in Scotland Jim Murphy would be one of those who would be defeated by the SNP.

The Lib Dems, who are polling a meagre four per cent in Scotland, would lose all of their MPs in Scotland including chief secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander. However, the highly fractured nature of today's politics as well as individual constituency factors should leave observers to treat the figures with caution.

Nevertheless, the trend of the polls show a switch to SNP from 2010 and Jim Murphy has his work cut out for him if he is to revive Scottish Labour and prevent an SNP landslide. Murphy recently hired recently hired political strategist John McTernan, a former adviser to Tony Blair and Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard to beef up his operation.

Murphy caused controversy among his party's London MPs after pledging Labour's mansion tax, which would mostly be raised on London, would help fund 1,000 nurses in Scotland.

There's a lot of variables on the ground with polling and all that since the referendum so there's debate over how accurate these polls are considering they are showing such a huge change, as well as the individual seat fights that Lord Ashcroft is supposed to be polling soon in Scotland which should give a clearer picture. But if this is happening - something for sure is - it shows what a swing under FPTP can result in: a complete sea change in politics.

Nearly 100 days to go until the General Election, and my reckoning is that this will be the biggest story of the night if it happens.

Thoughts?

[FlyingJesus]

Split votes and lack of majority is FUN, the last few years have totes proved that